Thursday, 13 March 2014

The road ahead-Indian Foreign Policy

UPA's Foreign Policy 


A news channel had conducted a foreign policy debate. While the quality of the debate is quiet debatable. It did remind us for a moment how twisted our foreign policy has been for ages now. Formulating foreign policy is an art, neither does it involve  doles nor does it have a vote bank. Yet successive governments have not been able to create a coherent vision document on India’s foreign policy. The most espoused approach of JL.Nehru has been anything but a success. His inability to see through Chinese deception still remains a scar in Indian Psyche. As Kissenger put it “A country that demands moral perfection in its foreign policy will neither achieve perfect nor security” .This is what JL.Nehru clearly did. India is yet to make a firm thoughtful step towards understanding her neighbours.The past 10years of UPA rule is one classic example. Be it the way India handled Maldives by supporting its favourite Nasheed or the way it handled Nepal turmoil showed immatureness. India must learn to support the nation rather than a particular leader .Let’s not forget the Daulet Beg Oldie episode or the 26/11.
 While  the Business class has been making a lot of noise about policy paralysis there has been a equal length of policy paralysis when it comes to foreign policy formulation. To put in simply “we are not sure what are doing”.Take the case of Land agreement with Bangladesh a West Bengal CM pulled the strings.The government obliged despite the fact that decisions on foreign policy is a central subject.The interference of local aspirations in   foreign policy formulation is another cause for concern.India has seen great leaders in MK.Gandhi, Moraji Desai, Indira Gandhi,but back then India was never imagined a future super power was rather seen  a communist ally.The era of Unipolar USA donning the Lordship of the world is fast approaching a slow but steady end.The rise of China is genuine threat which cannot washed off by signing agreements of peace or writing love letters to china,Pakistan.A  multipolar world as it may be in the future.  India is expected to be one of the global super powers and rightly so.Un/fortunately for India we have a competing neighbor who is in not mood to give up its mantle.The first step towards a better foreign policy would be is to understand thy neigbour which India has been terribly bad at. We had  kargil episode paralleled with peace trip to Pakistan. We had a Prime Minister who has a doctrine after his name expousing love towards its neigbours. Gandhian love is fine only when  love is mutually exchanged which did not happen in his tenure.What has been the problem with India’s foreign policy? We have not learnt the art of learning from our mistakes or willfully do the same mistake or both.
Manmohan’s Pakistan doctrine has more to do with Gujaral doctrine and less to do with his own despite repeated border violations.We have a CM who wants AFSPA repealed in a place where a National leader’s daughter was kidnapped.It took years to control  insurgencies in Kashmir not to forget the Scar that the Kashmiri pundits are left with . What is the way ahead? .The answer is neither simple nor direct a strong foreign policy needs several elements  and finally a strong leadership at the top which India clearly lacks.To put its crudely  India seems to learn things at a grueling autistic rate, a clear state of impaired approach.We have forgotten the very basics that Chanakya neeti taught us concillation(Sama), Bribery (Daam), Punishment(Danda),sowing dissensions(Bheda).Leaders weakened Indian intelligence network to strengthen ties with untrustworthy neighbours like Pakistan .The list includes I.K.Gujaral  ,the welcome addition of Manmohan Singh.The Sharm el sheikh episode is a classic case of Indian lack of understanding of Pakistan which has perennially searched for reasons to find a chink on Indian armour.Manmohan Singh handed it over to them in a silver platter.We have CBI seriously pursuing a case against a IB officer for providing leads to a terrorist hide out.There is nothing more shameful than attacking your own intelligence networks .The current govt is gleefully carrying this for political brownie points.
 We have had a series of never ending unfruitful talks with Pakistan and China.We believe in engagement while the other side believes in keeping us engaged.While Pakistan runs a wholeshale terror machinery,China runs Pakistan to keep us busy.Let us be clear we cannot do a Israel style policy with two Nuclear states.India should learn the art of forcing the other side to come to the table with genuine interest which can only be possible when we wield  the power to not stay compromised under any circumstance.Even a compromise should be a profit to Indian side.India needs assertive character at the top which we clearly lack now.
Every time India moved to talks with Pakistan more often than not India has gone the extra mile be it the bus trip or the offering of MFN status.What have we demanded? Breakdown  of terror machinery,which currently sounds near impossible task even if Pakistan is serious about it.Pakistan has poisoned itself to the extend that it can’t  turn back.But what is the point of demanding removal of terror groups in Pakistan?.When its education system & Madrassahs are breading ground of terror.Its school books teach hatred against India and Hindu in particular.The General  Zia regime’s islamization programme of altering history to Pakistan’s convenience is a issue that needs to be addressed.Unless the very root of terror is uprooted there shall be no peace or end to terror in Pakistan.India if it wants  real truce with  Pakistan.India should demand these very roots of terror be uprooted.
This pushes us to the next stage does India really need a peaceful Pakistan.Frankly I am in a dilemma.The history of terror based Islamic hatred towards its enemies seems to grow strong when the nation propers. Rich prosperous terror funders being  Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is said to be the world's largest source of funds for Salafi jihadist terrorist militant groups, such as al-Qaeda, the AfghanTaliban, and Lashkar-e-Taiba in South Asia, and donors in Saudi Arabia constitute the most significant source of funding to Sunni terrorist groups worldwide, according to Hillary Clinton.I personally believe a peaceful Pakistan is a greater danger to India than a turmoil filled Pakistan. The best way to keep ourselves safe  would be to keep Pakistan in a state of suspended animation preventing it from taking its own decision in short Finlandisation of Pakistan is the best bet for a safe India unless a genuine peace loving leader emerges in Pakistan.
             

                                                

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